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“ ”Sometimes people ask you a question with their eyes begging you to not tell them the truth.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1 January 1960 in Amioun, Lebanon) is an essayist, epistemologist, researcher, and former practitioner of mathematical finance.
Biography information from Wikiquote
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Locke’s definition of a madman: someone “reasoning correctly from erroneous premises.
"We" are the empirical decision makers who hold that uncertainty is our discipline, and that understanding how to act under conditions of incomplete information is the highest and most urgent human pursuit.
If you ever do have to heed a forecast, keep in mind that its accuracy degrades rapidly as you extend it through time.